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What Is Stagflation?

“Most of us spend too much time on the last 24-hours and too little on the last 6,000 years.” – Will Durant In February, inflation clocked in at a 40-year high. Last week, capital markets made a U-turn and gained some upward momentum. Few reasons why this happened: The Fed confirmed a 0.25% rate hike…

Recession on the horizon?

The world breaks ever decade or so. Morgan Housel recently wrote about a “shock cycle” for all big news events: Assume good news is permanent. Oblivious to bad news. Ignore bad news. Deny bad news. Panic at bad news. Accept bad news. Assume bad news is permanent. Ignore good news. Deny good news. Accept good…

Market Fragility

We’re living in a time where investors across every asset class are worried about the same thing: monetary policy and its impact on markets. From REIT fund managers to VCs investing in tech to PE folks investing in mid-market companies; all the way to retail investors.  There are two types of market environments: volatile and…

Is Human Capital Fungible?

Human capital is a combined set of experience and skills, and for businesses to assign a monetary value to their people and talent. Most companies during the industrial revolution treated employees as fungible. Meaning, their skills and experience is easily replaceable. Let’s briefly explore how human capital evolved in each phase of technology eras. The…

Inflationary Pressure

We’re at the beginning of inflationary pressure, not the end. Below are some thoughts and predictions of what to expect rest of the year. Consumer price index (CPI) is the measure of average changes in prices over time that consumers pay for goods and services. It effectively helps us measure inflation. Historically, the US average…

Theater Work

Many companies have a clock-in, clock-out culture. They wrestle with trying to move the needle by keeping people busy. This is called theater work. Those long days, random meetings, Zoom calls with 10+ people in attendance but one person presenting… There’s no time left in the day for creative work. There’s no time in the…